Aug 1, 2008
Changeover of priorities U.S. public - from Iraq to the economy
Apart from changes almost daily assessment of popular concerns, often associated with changes in perception where manipulation communication play their role, it seems that we can consider as a major political and lasting now the changeover of priorities U.S. public - from Iraq to the economy. It is an analysis that now encountered in a manner common among statisticians specializing in opinion surveys.This is the finding that the agency McClatchy Newspaper, July 16, in an analysis supported in particular on work by John Zogby, who heads a polling institutes among the most often referred to the USA for its capabilities. "" The economy is clearly foremost on the list of people's concerns, "Zogby said. "That probably will continue as long as things are sour."
The analysis reported impressive results over a significant period of time. The economy and Iraq have almost permuté in public concerns U.S., with differences radical figures. McClatchy Newspaper cites the result of a recent survey, but it is an example among others, all results are in the same direction.
"One new poll this week underscored how dramatically the political landscape has shifted since this long campaign started.
"This week, 53 percent of Americans ranked the economy their top concern heading into the election, while 16 percent ranked Iraq their chief worry, according to a national survey by Quinnipiac University in Connecticut. In May 2007, the priorities were the opposite, with 57 percent naming Iraq issue and the top 5 percent naming the economy. "
It is of course in relation to the presidential election that this development is discussed. The question is open since January, to find out what is the priority of the public, and the effects on the positions of both candidates. Here we find the vision of a conventional Obama encouraged by this development to the public. "The flip-flop in popular opinion could help Democrat Barack Obama, lowering the profile of one issue - Iraq - that, surprisingly, might have been helping Republican John McCain and raising another - the economy - that historically helps challengers such as Obama. "
However, this estimate makes a very conventional. It is a classical vision which refers to an election campaign which seems to shut himself increasingly in a conventional vision and a poor without surprise. This is the case when a contrario notes that on the question of war in Iraq, is the candidate of the party that gave birth to this disaster, which is considered the most capable of dealing with it.
Another sign of this mediocrity in the analysis of crises that are of exceptional intensity, is how the question of the economy is addressed. This question is actually the first priority of the public and it should become the main concern of candidates hence. No one knows yet find a clear, consistent proposals, much less a structured view, there is a complete absence of "inspiration" in this regard.
"" There is a perception that neither candidate has a handle on the economy and there's no clear direction from the public about what direction to go, "pollster John Zogby said. "It's not as though there is a demand for a new New Deal or Great Society or, on the other hand, for tax cuts." What's clear as of now, he said, is that the issue is dominant. "
In this light, general education of this evolution of the American public is kind of indirect. It focuses on the finding renewed conformism and the mediocrity of the establishment facing the crisis of the USA. The developments described by opinion polls is obvious and agrees to the intensity of the financial and economic crisis. The establishment Republicans and Democrats alike, is completely disarmed before this solicitation. This is especially visible in the Obama camp, which should be encouraged by this development but which has nothing to offer that can claim to respond to the intensity of the situation. Obama focused reported recently by positions on international issues, and in the sense that war is today the conformism of Washington. The question is certainly raised whether, with the confirmation of the shift in emphasis from the public, Obama will enjoy its natural advantage in the economic and social fields. It has every reason to be pessimistic about the likely response, as his campaign has become surprisingly conformist in recent weeks.
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